Marist Institute for Public Opinion
Marist College l Poughkeepsie, N.Y. 12601 l (914) 575-5050
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: Wednesday, March 29, 2000
Contact: Dr. Lee M. Miringoff
Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho
Marist College
(914) 575-5050
This Marist College Institute for Public Opinion poll reports:
Rudy vs. Hillary: Close Contest
Question Wording: If the next election for U.S. Senate in New York State were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Rudy Giuliani, the Republican, and Hillary Clinton, the Democrat?
Registered Voters |
Rudy Giuliani |
Hillary Clinton |
Undecided |
March 2000 |
46% |
43% |
11% |
February 24, 2000 |
47% |
41% |
12% |
February 4, 2000 |
47% |
40% |
13% |
January 2000 |
49% |
40% |
11% |
December 1999 |
49% |
40% |
11% |
October 1999 |
46% |
42% |
12% |
September 1999 |
49% |
40% |
11% |
July 1999 |
47% |
41% |
12% |
April 1999 |
43% |
43% |
14% |
March 26, 1999 |
46% |
48% |
6% |
March 3, 1999 |
45% |
50% |
5% |
February 1999 |
38% |
49% |
13% |
January 1999 |
42% |
52% |
6% |
Registered Voters |
Rudy Giuliani |
Hillary Clinton |
Undecided |
|
Region 03/00 |
|||
|
Upstate |
49% |
37% |
14% |
|
New York City |
34% |
60% |
6% |
|
Suburbs |
56% |
32% |
12% |
Registered Voters |
Rudy Giuliani |
Hillary Clinton |
Undecided |
|
Gender 03/00 |
|||
|
Men |
50% |
40% |
10% |
|
Women |
43% |
46% |
11% |
|
White Women |
51% |
36% |
13% |
|
Non-white Women |
8% |
86% |
6% |
|
Party 03/00 |
|||
|
Democrat |
25% |
66% |
9% |
|
Republican |
70% |
20% |
10% |
|
Independent |
52% |
35% |
13% |
|
Race 03/00 |
|||
|
White |
54% |
34% |
12% |
|
Black |
10% |
87% |
3% |
|
Latino |
28% |
62% |
10% |
|
Religion 03/00 |
|||
|
Protestant |
45% |
47% |
8% |
|
Catholic |
51% |
36% |
13% |
|
White Catholic |
55% |
32% |
13% |
|
Jewish |
48% |
42% |
10% |
Question Wording: Would you say you strongly support Rudy Giuliani/Hillary Clinton, somewhat support him/her, or do you think that you might vote differently on election day?
|
Registered Voters |
Strongly Support |
Somewhat Support |
Might Vote Differently |
Unsure |
|
March 2000 |
60% |
25% |
13% |
2% |
|
February 24, 2000 |
62% |
22% |
13% |
3% |
|
February 4, 2000 |
60% |
25% |
12% |
3% |
|
January 2000 |
54% |
27% |
17% |
2% |
Rudy Giuliani Supporters |
||||
|
March 2000 |
60% |
24% |
14% |
2% |
|
February 24, 2000 |
65% |
21% |
13% |
1% |
|
February 4, 2000 |
62% |
25% |
11% |
2% |
January 2000 |
56% |
27% |
15% |
2% |
Hillary Clinton Supporters |
||||
|
March 2000 |
60% |
26% |
12% |
2% |
|
February 24, 2000 |
59% |
25% |
12% |
4% |
|
February 4, 2000 |
57% |
26% |
13% |
4% |
January 2000 |
51% |
26% |
20% |
3% |
Question Wording: Please tell me if you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of each of the following:
|
Registered Voters |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Unsure/Never Heard |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
|||
|
March 2000 |
52% |
36% |
12% |
|
February 24, 2000 |
60% |
29% |
11% |
|
February 4, 2000 |
54% |
35% |
11% |
|
January 2000 |
61% |
28% |
11% |
|
December 1999 |
60% |
27% |
13% |
|
October 1999 |
51% |
39% |
10% |
|
September 1999 |
58% |
30% |
12% |
|
April 1999 |
51% |
27% |
22% |
|
March 26, 1999 |
50% |
32% |
18% |
|
February 1999 |
61% |
25% |
14% |
|
January 1999 |
53% |
36% |
11% |
|
Hillary Clinton |
|||
|
March 2000 |
47% |
46% |
7% |
|
February 24, 2000 |
50% |
40% |
10% |
|
February 4, 2000 |
50% |
41% |
9% |
|
January 2000 |
48% |
43% |
9% |
|
December 1999 |
52% |
38% |
10% |
|
October 1999 |
50% |
39% |
11% |
|
September 1999 |
53% |
40% |
7% |
|
April 1999 |
54% |
33% |
13% |
|
March 26, 1999 |
56% |
33% |
11% |
|
February 1999 |
68% |
27% |
5% |
|
January 1999 |
66% |
32% |
2% |
In the Aftermath of the Dorismond Shooting
Question Wording: Do you approve or disapprove of Rudy Giuliani's handling of the recent incident in which New York City Police fatally shot Patrick Dorismond an unarmed security guard?
Registered Voters |
Approve |
Disapprove |
Unsure/Never heard |
March 2000 |
26% |
50% |
24% |
Region |
|||
Upstate |
25% |
41% |
34% |
New York City |
18% |
72% |
10% |
Suburbs |
38% |
40% |
22% |
Carpetbagger vs. Welcome Mat
Question Wording: If Hillary Clinton runs for the U.S. Senate in New York State, are you concerned a great deal, somewhat, not very much, or not at all, about the fact that she is not from New York State?
Registered Voters |
A Great Deal |
Somewhat |
Not Very Much |
Not At All |
March 2000 |
31% |
19% |
11% |
39% |
February 24, 2000 |
26% |
21% |
12% |
41% |
February 4, 2000 |
29% |
18% |
12% |
41% |
January 2000 |
30% |
23% |
12% |
35% |
December 1999 |
33% |
24% |
8% |
35% |
October 1999 |
26% |
24% |
11% |
39% |
September 1999 |
27% |
24% |
13% |
36% |
July 1999 |
32% |
20% |
11% |
37% |
April 1999 |
29% |
22% |
12% |
37% |
February 1999 |
25% |
21% |
14% |
40% |
Rudy vs. Hillary: Voters’ Scorecard
Question Wording: As a U.S. Senator from New York, do you think Rudy Giuliani or Hillary Clinton is more likely to:
Registered Voters |
Giuliani |
Clinton |
Undecided |
Be a fighter for New York in Washington |
55% |
34% |
11% |
Be able to work with others in the U.S. Senate |
40% |
49% |
11% |
Nature of the Sample: 561 New York State Registered Voters
This survey was conducted on March 27th and 28th, 2000. 561 registered voters were interviewed in proportion to the voter registration in each county in New York State and adjusted for turnout in comparable elections. All interviews were conducted by telephone. The results are statistically significant at ± 4% for the entire sample. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.
|
Race |
Party |
||
|
White |
80% |
Democrat |
42% |
|
Black |
11% |
Republican |
31% |
|
Latino |
6% |
Independent |
21% |
|
Asian |
2% |
Conservative |
2% |
|
Other |
1% |
Liberal |
3% |
|
Other |
1% |
||
|
Religion |
Ideology |
||
|
Protestant |
28% |
Liberal |
27% |
|
Catholic |
49% |
Moderate |
42% |
|
Jewish |
9% |
Conservative |
31% |
|
Other |
14% |
||
|
Gender (weighted) |
Region |
||
|
Men |
48% |
Upstate |
45% |
|
Women |
52% |
New York City |
31% |
|
Suburbs |
24% |