Marist Institute for Public Opinion
Marist College l Poughkeepsie, N.Y. 12601 l 845.575.5050
FOR USE BY BROADCAST: Saturday 6:00 P.M. April 20, 2002
FOR USE IN NEWSPAPERS: Sunday, April 21, 2002
Contact: Dr. Lee M. Miringoff
Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho
Marist College
845.575.5050
This Marist College Institute for Public Opinion poll reports:
Governor George Pataki: Approval Rating Strong
Question Wording: Would you rate the job Governor George Pataki is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor?
|
Registered Voters |
Excellent |
Good |
Fair |
Poor |
Unsure/DK |
|
April 2002 |
15% |
49% |
28% |
6% |
2% |
|
December 2001 |
15% |
50% |
27% |
4% |
4% |
|
April 2001 |
10% |
43% |
34% |
8% |
5% |
|
December 2000 |
11% |
44% |
30% |
10% |
5% |
|
March 2000 |
9% |
42% |
35% |
11% |
3% |
|
September 1999 |
10% |
41% |
38% |
9% |
2% |
|
July 1999 |
15% |
40% |
31% |
11% |
3% |
|
March 1999 |
12% |
49% |
28% |
10% |
1% |
|
October 1998 |
14% |
46% |
31% |
8% |
1% |
|
September 1998 |
16% |
46% |
31% |
6% |
1% |
|
April 1998 |
11% |
48% |
33% |
7% |
1% |
|
February 1998 |
11% |
49% |
32% |
6% |
2% |
|
October 1997 |
7% |
42% |
39% |
10% |
2% |
|
March 1997 |
6% |
41% |
38% |
12% |
3% |
|
November 1996 |
8% |
39% |
36% |
14% |
3% |
|
March 1996 |
6% |
33% |
40% |
17% |
4% |
|
September 1995 |
5% |
34% |
38% |
17% |
6% |
|
March 1995 |
8% |
28% |
28% |
16% |
20% |
|
Region |
Excellent |
Good |
Fair |
Poor |
Unsure/DK |
|
Suburbs |
|||||
|
April 2002 |
16% |
54% |
23% |
5% |
2% |
|
December 2001 |
17% |
53% |
23% |
4% |
3% |
|
April 2001 |
8% |
46% |
39% |
5% |
2% |
|
New York City |
|||||
|
April 2002 |
14% |
50% |
26% |
8% |
2% |
|
December 2001 |
15% |
41% |
32% |
5% |
7% |
|
April 2001 |
6% |
31% |
41% |
15% |
7% |
|
Upstate |
|||||
|
April 2002 |
15% |
46% |
32% |
4% |
3% |
|
December 2001 |
15% |
54% |
24% |
4% |
3% |
|
April 2001 |
13% |
50% |
27% |
5% |
5% |
Question Wording:
|
Registered Voters |
Liberal |
Moderate |
Conservative |
|
April 2002 |
11% |
56% |
33% |
|
March 1995 |
13% |
38% |
49% |
Governor Pataki’s Re-election Prospects
Question Wording: If the next election for governor of New York State were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
|
Registered Voters |
George Pataki |
Andrew Cuomo |
Undecided |
|
April 2002 |
61% |
30% |
9% |
|
December 2001 |
59% |
31% |
10% |
|
April 2001 |
45% |
42% |
13% |
|
December 2000 |
50% |
39% |
11% |
|
March 2000 |
50% |
40% |
10% |
|
September 1999 |
48% |
39% |
13% |
|
Registered Voters |
George Pataki |
H. Carl McCall |
Undecided |
|
April 2002 |
63% |
29% |
8% |
|
December 2001 |
59% |
29% |
12% |
|
April 2001 |
49% |
39% |
12% |
|
December 2000 |
52% |
37% |
11% |
|
March 2000 |
52% |
33% |
15% |
|
September 1999 |
54% |
30% |
16% |
Question Wording: Do you definitely plan to vote for George Pataki for re-election as governor or do you definitely plan to vote against him?
|
Registered Voters |
Vote For |
Vote Against |
Unsure |
|
April 2002 |
48% |
18% |
34% |
|
December 2001 |
42% |
19% |
39% |
Question Wording: Regardless for whom you are planning to vote, whom do you think would be the best governor for New York State for the next four years?
|
Registered Voters |
George Pataki |
Andrew Cuomo |
H. Carl McCall |
Unsure |
|
April 2002 |
61% |
15% |
13% |
11% |
Favorable/Unfavorable Impressions
Question Wording: Please tell me if you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of each of the following:
|
Registered Voters |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Unsure/Never Heard |
|
George Pataki |
|||
|
April 2002 |
79% |
17% |
4% |
|
December 2001 |
77% |
17% |
6% |
|
April 2001 |
66% |
27% |
7% |
|
December 2000 |
69% |
25% |
6% |
|
Andrew Cuomo |
|||
|
April 2002 |
50% |
27% |
23% |
|
December 2001 |
41% |
26% |
33% |
|
April 2001 |
50% |
25% |
25% |
|
December 2000 |
48% |
25% |
27% |
|
H. Carl McCall |
|||
|
April 2002 |
51% |
13% |
36% |
|
December 2001 |
45% |
14% |
41% |
|
April 2001 |
45% |
14% |
41% |
|
December 2000 |
42% |
12% |
46% |
The Race for New York State Comptroller
Question Wording: If the next election for comptroller of New York State were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
|
Registered Voters |
John Faso Republican |
Alan Hevesi Democrat |
Undecided |
|
April 2002 |
30% |
40% |
30% |
|
Registered Voters |
John Faso Republican |
William Mulrow Democrat |
Undecided |
|
April 2002 |
31% |
29% |
40% |
Direction of NYS
Question Wording: In general, thinking about the way things are going in New York State, do you feel things are going in the right direction or that things are going in the wrong direction?
|
Registered Voters |
Right Direction |
Wrong Direction |
Unsure |
|
April 2002 |
66% |
28% |
6% |
|
December 2001 |
65% |
25% |
10% |
|
April 2001 |
58% |
33% |
9% |
|
December 2000 |
64% |
30% |
6% |
|
March 2000 |
60% |
29% |
11% |
|
September 1999 |
65% |
25% |
10% |
|
March 1999 |
64% |
26% |
10% |
|
October 1998 |
68% |
23% |
9% |
|
September 1998 |
68% |
23% |
9% |
|
April 1998 |
66% |
23% |
11% |
|
February 1998 |
68% |
25% |
7% |
|
October 1997 |
58% |
33% |
9% |
|
March 1997 |
51% |
35% |
14% |
|
November 1996 |
51% |
37% |
12% |
|
March 1996 |
36% |
49% |
15% |
|
September 1995 |
35% |
48% |
17% |
|
March 1995 |
36% |
48% |
16% |
|
November 1994 |
25% |
62% |
13% |
|
October 1994 |
22% |
66% |
12% |
|
September 1994 |
24% |
62% |
14% |
|
March 1994 |
25% |
61% |
14% |
|
November 1993 |
26% |
59% |
15% |
|
September 1990 |
28% |
56% |
16% |
Question Wording: Do you think that New York State is currently in a recession, or not?
|
Registered Voters |
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
|
April 2002 |
68% |
28% |
4% |
|
December 2001 |
76% |
19% |
5% |
|
April 2001 |
46% |
48% |
6% |
|
April 1998 |
27% |
66% |
7% |
|
February 1998 |
28% |
65% |
7% |
|
September 1998 |
23% |
71% |
6% |
|
October 1997 |
36% |
58% |
6% |
|
March 1997 |
42% |
51% |
7% |
|
November 1996 |
48% |
45% |
7% |
|
March 1996 |
56% |
37% |
7% |
|
September 1995 |
56% |
34% |
10% |
|
March 1995 |
59% |
32% |
9% |
|
October 1994 |
67% |
27% |
6% |
|
September 1994 |
63% |
28% |
9% |
|
March 1994 |
70% |
22% |
8% |
|
March 1991 |
84% |
13% |
3% |
New York’s U.S. Senators and President Bush
Question Wording: Would you rate the job Senator Hillary Clinton is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor?
|
Registered Voters |
Excellent |
Good |
Fair |
Poor |
Unsure/DK |
|
April 2002 |
11% |
36% |
27% |
20% |
6% |
|
December 2001 |
11% |
34% |
23% |
23% |
9% |
|
April 2001 |
9% |
26% |
26% |
22% |
17% |
|
February 2001 |
10% |
20% |
22% |
20% |
28% |
Question Wording: Would you rate the job Senator Charles Schumer is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor?
|
Registered Voters |
Excellent |
Good |
Fair |
Poor |
Unsure/DK |
|
April 2002 |
11% |
44% |
26% |
6% |
13% |
|
December 2001 |
12% |
42% |
24% |
7% |
15% |
|
April 2001 |
12% |
37% |
26% |
8% |
17% |
|
December 2000 |
13% |
38% |
22% |
9% |
18% |
|
March 2000 |
9% |
30% |
27% |
7% |
27% |
|
September 1999 |
9% |
35% |
31% |
8% |
17% |
|
March 1999 |
7% |
34% |
23% |
10% |
26% |
Question Wording
|
Registered Voters |
Excellent |
Good |
Fair |
Poor |
Unsure/DK |
|
April 2002 |
33% |
39% |
17% |
10% |
1% |
|
December 2001 |
43% |
36% |
15% |
5% |
1% |
|
April 2001 |
11% |
29% |
30% |
23% |
7% |
Nature of the Sample: 808 New York State Registered Voters
This survey was conducted from April 11th through April 17th, 2002. 808 registered voters were interviewed in proportion to the voter registration in each county in New York State and adjusted for turnout in comparable elections. All interviews were conducted by telephone. The results are statistically significant at ± 3.5% for the entire sample. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.
|
Race |
Party |
||
|
White |
80% |
Democrat |
42% |
|
Black |
11% |
Republican |
32% |
|
Latino |
7% |
Independent |
22% |
|
Asian |
2% |
Conservative |
2% |
|
Other |
0% |
Liberal |
2% |
|
Other |
0% |
||
|
Religion |
Ideology |
||
|
Protestant |
29% |
Liberal |
24% |
|
Catholic |
49% |
Moderate |
45% |
|
Jewish |
10% |
Conservative |
31% |
|
Other |
12% |
||
|
Gender (weighted) |
Region |
||
|
Men |
48% |
Upstate |
45% |
|
Women |
52% |
New York City |
31% |
|
Suburbs |
24% |