Marist
Institute for Public Opinion
Marist
College l Poughkeepsie, N.Y. 12601 l
845.575.5050
Contact:
Dr. Lee M. Miringoff
Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho
845.575.5050
This
Marist College Institute for Public Opinion poll reports:
·
Governor George Pataki leads New York
State Comptroller H. Carl McCall by 15% among likely voters for November’s
gubernatorial election. Pataki has
the support of 52% of New York State’s registered voters and McCall receives
37%.
Question Wording:
If November’s election for governor of New York State were held today, whom
would you support if the candidates are:
|
|
George
Pataki Republican |
H.
Carl McCall Democrat |
Gerard
Cronin R-T-L |
Stanley
Aronowitz Green |
Undecided |
|
Likely
Voters |
52% |
37% |
1% |
1% |
9% |
|
Likely
w/ Leaners |
53% |
39% |
1% |
1% |
6% |
|
Registered
Voters |
|
|
|
|
|
|
September
2002 |
51% |
34% |
2% |
2% |
11% |
|
May
2002 |
60% |
30% |
n.a. |
n.a. |
10% |
|
April
2002 |
63% |
29% |
n.a. |
n.a. |
8% |
|
December
2001 |
59% |
29% |
n.a. |
n.a. |
12% |
|
April
2001 |
49% |
39% |
n.a. |
n.a. |
12% |
|
December
2000 |
52% |
37% |
n.a. |
n.a. |
11% |
|
March
2000 |
52% |
33% |
n.a. |
n.a. |
15% |
|
September
1999 |
54% |
30% |
n.a. |
n.a. |
16% |
|
Likely
Voters |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Region |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Upstate |
50% |
35% |
2% |
2% |
11% |
|
New York City |
45% |
47% |
0% |
2% |
6% |
|
Suburbs |
64% |
28% |
2% |
0% |
6% |
Party
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Republican |
75% |
16% |
2% |
0% |
7% |
|
Democrat |
34% |
57% |
1% |
1% |
7% |
|
Non-enrolled |
51% |
27% |
3% |
4% |
15% |
·
The
Golisano Factor: When
Thomas Golisano, who is vying for a place on the November ballot, is included as
the Independence Party candidate for the general election for governor, he receives
11% among likely voters compared with George Pataki who has 48% and H. Carl
McCall who receives 32%.
|
|
Pataki Republican |
McCall Democrat |
Golisano Independence |
Other
|
Undecided |
|
Likely
Voters |
48% |
32% |
11% |
2% |
7% |
|
Likely
w/ Leaners |
49% |
34% |
11% |
2% |
4% |
|
Registered
Voters |
|
|
|
|
|
|
September
2002 |
47% |
30% |
12% |
2% |
9% |
|
May
2002 |
58% |
27% |
6% |
n.a. |
9% |
·
Intensity
of Support: 63% of likely voters are strongly
committed to a candidate for governor, 24% say they somewhat support their
choice, and 11% indicate they might vote differently on election day. The support for George Pataki is more firmly committed than
the support for H. Carl McCall. Thomas
Golisano has the lowest intensity of support among these three candidates.
Question
Wording:
Would you say you strongly support (candidate name), somewhat support him, or do
you think you might vote differently on election day?
|
|
Strongly Support |
Somewhat Support |
Might
Vote Differently |
Unsure |
Likely Voters
|
63% |
24% |
11% |
2% |
By Candidate
|
|
|
|
|
|
George
Pataki |
71% |
19% |
7% |
3% |
|
H.
Carl McCall |
60% |
27% |
12% |
1% |
|
Thomas
Golisano |
36% |
40% |
24% |
0% |
·
Governor George Pataki is the best known
of any of the potential candidates for governor.
Voters’ views of both Pataki and McCall are much more favorable than
unfavorable. Voters’ assessments of Thomas Golisano are mixed.
Question
Wording: Please tell me if you have a favorable
or an unfavorable impression of each of the following:
|
Registered Voters |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Unsure/Never
Heard |
George Pataki
|
|
|
|
September
2002
|
69% |
26% |
5% |
May
2002
|
81% |
16% |
3% |
April
2002
|
79% |
17% |
4% |
December
2001
|
77% |
17% |
6% |
April
2001
|
66% |
27% |
7% |
December
2000
|
69% |
25% |
6% |
H. Carl McCall
|
|
|
|
September
2002
|
59% |