Marist Institute
for Public Opinion
Marist College l Poughkeepsie, N.Y. 12601 l 845.575.5050
Contact: Dr. Lee M. Miringoff
Dr.
Barbara L. Carvalho
845.575.5050
This
Marist College Institute for Public Opinion poll reports:
·
In a poll completed Sunday night, Governor George Pataki
leads Comptroller H. Carl McCall by 20% among likely voters for tomorrow’s
gubernatorial election. George Pataki
receives 47% compared with H. Carl McCall’s 27%. Businessman Thomas Golisano has 19%.
Question Wording: If Tuesday’s election for
governor of New York State were held today, whom would you support if the
candidates are:
|
|
Pataki Republican |
McCall Democrat |
Golisano Independence |
Other* |
Undecided |
|
Likely
Voters |
|
|
|
|
|
|
November 4, 2002 |
47% |
27% |
19% |
2% |
5% |
|
October 30, 2002 |
47% |
27% |
17% |
2% |
7% |
|
Likely
w/ Leaners |
|
|
|
|
|
|
November 4, 2002 |
48% |
27% |
19% |
3% |
3% |
|
October 30, 2002 |
48% |
27% |
19% |
2% |
4% |
|
Registered
Voters |
|
|
|
|
|
|
November
4, 2002 |
47% |
27% |
17% |
2% |
7% |
|
October
30, 2002 |
45% |
28% |
17% |
2% |
8% |
·
Intensity
of Support: 68% of likely
voters are strongly committed to a candidate for governor, 24% say they
somewhat support their choice, and 7% indicate they might vote differently on
election day.
Question Wording: Would
you say you strongly support (candidate), somewhat support him, or do you think
you might vote differently on election day?
Likely
Voters
|
Strongly Support |
Somewhat Support |
Might Vote Differently |
Unsure |
November 4, 2002
|
68% |
24% |
7% |
1% |
October 30, 2002
|
71% |
20% |
8% |
1% |
Likely
Voters
|
Strongly Support |
Somewhat Support |
Might Vote Differently |
Unsure |
|
George Pataki |
|
|
|
|
November 4, 2002
|
73% |
23% |
4% |
0% |
October 30, 2002
|
77% |
17% |
5% |
1% |
|
H. Carl McCall |
|
|
|
|
November 4, 2002
|
69% |
23% |
8% |
0% |
October 30, 2002
|
73% |
21% |
6% |
0% |
|
Thomas Golisano |
|
|
|
|
November 4, 2002
|
53% |
31% |
14% |
2% |
October 30, 2002
|
52% |
29% |
19% |
0% |
·
The
Golisano Factor: Thomas Golisano draws similar support from both George Pataki and H. Carl
McCall. When Golisano backers are asked
whom they would support if Golisano was not on the ballot, George Pataki’s
support among likely voters increases by 9%, and H. Carl McCall’s support goes
up by 7%.
Question
Wording: How about if the candidates are (Golisano omitted):
|
Likely
Voters |
Pataki Republican |
McCall Democrat |
Other[*] |
Undecided |
|
November 4, 2002 |
56% |
34% |
3% |
7% |
|
October 30, 2002 |
54% |
33% |
4% |
9% |
·
Attacks
vs. Issues: In assessing the campaign for governor, 81% of registered voters think
the candidates have spent more time attacking each other, and 15% think the
candidates have spent more time talking about their positions on the issues.
Question Wording: Overall,
when thinking about the election campaign for governor, do you feel that the
candidates have spent more time talking about their positions on the issues, or
attacking each other?
|
|
Attacks |
Issues |
Unsure |
|
Registered Voters |
81% |
15% |
4% |
·
Among registered voters, George Pataki has the highest
favorable score of the three candidates.
Question
Wording: Please tell me if you have a favorable or an unfavorable
impression of each of the following:
|
Registered Voters |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Unsure/Never Heard |
George Pataki
|
|
|
|
|
November 4, 2002 |
67% |
29% |
4% |
|
October 30, 2002 |
69% |
28% |
3% |
H.
Carl McCall
|
|
|
|
|
November 4, 2002 |
54% |
34% |
12% |
|
October 30, 2002 |
54% |
33% |
13% |
Thomas Golisano
|
|
|
|
|
November 4, 2002 |
43% |
40% |
17% |
|
October 30, 2002 |
44% |
38% |
18% |
·
Alan Hevesi has the support of 50% of likely voters and John
Faso has the support of 33%. 12% of
likely voters are undecided.
Question Wording: If Tuesday’s election for
comptroller of New York State were held today, whom would you support if the
candidates are:
|
Likely Voters |
Faso Republican |
Hevesi Democrat |
Other* |
Undecided |
|
November 4, 2002 |
33% |
50% |