Contact: Dr. Lee M. Miringoff
Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho
Marist College
(914) 575-5050
This Marist College Institute for Public Opinion poll reports:
• A majority of registered voters in New York State think First Lady Hillary Clinton should run for the U.S. Senate seat in New York in 2000.
Question Wording: "Do you think Hillary Clinton should run for the U.S. Senate in New York State in the year 2000, or not?"
|
Registered Voters |
Should Run |
Should Not Run |
Undecided |
|
February 1999 |
56.1% |
36.7% |
7.2% |
• Almost two-thirds of the New York electorate think she will run.
Question Wording: "Do you think Hillary Clinton will run for the U.S. Senate in New York State in the year 2000, or not?"
|
Registered Voters |
Will Run |
Will Not Run |
Undecided |
|
February 1999 |
64.4% |
17.2% |
18.4% |
• A majority of registered voters in New York State are not very concerned about the fact that Hillary Clinton is not from New York State. 46.4% of New York voters have at least some reservations.
Question Wording: "If Hillary Clinton decides to run for the U.S. Senate in New York State, are you concerned a great deal, somewhat, not very much, or not at all, about the fact that she is not from New York State?"
|
Registered Voters |
A Great Deal |
Somewhat |
Not Very Much |
Not At All |
|
February 1999 |
24.9% |
21.5% |
13.7% |
39.9% |
• First Lady Hillary Clinton leads potential GOP rival Rudolph Giuliani for the U.S. Senate seat in New York in 2000.
• A gender gap exists in this contest.
Question Wording: "If the next election for U.S. Senate in New York State were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Rudolph Giuliani, the Republican, and Hillary Clinton, the Democrat?"
|
Registered Voters |
Rudolph Giuliani |
Hillary Clinton |
Undecided |
|
February 1999 |
38.1% |
49.0% |
12.9% |
|
Region |
|||
|
Upstate |
40.1% |
43.7% |
16.3% |
|
New York City |
25.8% |
66.3% |
8.0% |
|
Suburbs |
49.8% |
37.4% |
12.7% |
|
Gender |
|||
|
Men |
40.3% |
46.2% |
13.5% |
|
Women |
36.1% |
51.5% |
12.4% |
|
Party |
|||
|
Democrats |
14.8% |
75.2% |
10.0% |
|
Republicans |
66.7% |
21.5% |
11.8% |
|
Non-enrolled |
40.7% |
42.4% |
16.8% |
• New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani leads Congresswoman Nita Lowey for the U.S. Senate seat in New York in 2000.
Question Wording: "If the next election for U.S. Senate in New York State were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Rudolph Giuliani, the Republican, and Nita Lowey, the Democrat?"
|
Registered Voters |
Rudolph Giuliani |
Nita Lowey |
Undecided |
|
February 1999 |
52.0% |
27.8% |
20.2% |
|
Region |
|||
|
Upstate |
51.2% |
19.6% |
29.2% |
|
New York City |
42.7% |
42.6% |
14.7% |
|
Suburbs |
65.0% |
25.3% |
9.8% |
|
Gender |
|||
|
Men |
55.6% |
26.0% |
18.4% |
|
Women |
48.6% |
29.4% |
22.0% |
|
Party |
|||
|
Democrats |
33.7% |
48.2% |
18.1% |
|
Republicans |
78.4% |
5.2% |
16.4% |
|
Non-enrolled |
57.5% |
13.8% |
28.7% |
• Hillary Clinton is viewed positively by New York voters by more than 2:1. Many New York voters also have a favorable impression of Rudolph Giuliani. The New York electorate is unfamiliar with Congresswoman Nita Lowey.
Question Wording: "Please tell me if you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of each of the following:"
|
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Unsure/Never Heard |
|
|
Hillary Clinton |
68.4% |
27.2% |
4.4% |
|
Rudolph Giuliani |
60.4% |
25.3% |
14.3% |
|
Nita Lowey |
16.2% |
11.8% |
72.0% |
This survey was conducted on February 16th, 1999. 502 registered voters were interviewed in proportion to the voter registration in each county in New York State and adjusted for turnout in comparable elections. All interviews were conducted by telephone. The results are statistically significant at ±4.5%. The margin of error increases for cross-tabulations.
|
Nature of the Sample: 502 New York State Registered Voters |
|||
|
Race |
Party |
||
|
White |
79.8% |
Democrat |
43.9% |
|
Black |
12.4% |
Republican |
32.7% |
|
Hispanic |
4.6% |
Non-enrolled |
18.9% |
|
Asian |
1.7% |
Conservative |
2.5% |
|
Other |
1.5% |
Liberal |
1.6% |
|
Other |
0.4% |
||
|
Religion |
Ideology |
||
|
Protestant |
30.5% |
Liberal |
24.2% |
|
Catholic |
51.7% |
Moderate |
44.4% |
|
Jewish |
9.3% |
Conservative |
31.4% |
|
Other |
8.5 |
||
|
Gender (weighted) |
Region |
||
|
Men |
48.2% |
Upstate |
46.4% |
|
Women |
51.8% |
New York City |
29.6% |
|
Suburbs |
24.0% |
||