NYS Poll: February 5th Presidential
Primaries
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: Monday January 21, 2008
All
references must be sourced WNBC/Marist Poll
Contact: Dr. Lee M. Miringoff
Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho
845.575.5050
This WNBC/Marist Poll of New York State reports:
·
Senator John McCain leads among Republicans in New York
State: John McCain outpaces the Republican field of presidential candidates
including former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani among New York’s registered Republicans. Despite Giuliani’s hopes for a strong showing
in New York, right now, 34% of registered Republicans including those leaning
to a candidate support McCain compared with 23% for Giuliani. Among Republicans likely to vote in the February
5th primary, McCain maintains his support of 34%, but Giuliani is
tied for second with former Governor Mitt Romney at 19%. Former Governor Mike Huckabee receives 15%
among Republicans likely to vote.
Question Wording: If the New York Republican Presidential Primary
were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
Republicans
|
Likely w/ Leaners |
Likely Republicans |
Republicans w/ Leaners |
All Republicans |
|
John
McCain |
34% |
33% |
34% |
32% |
|
Rudy
Giuliani |
19% |
18% |
23% |
22% |
|
Mitt
Romney |
19% |
19% |
15% |
14% |
|
Mike
Huckabee |
15% |
15% |
11% |
11% |
|
Fred
Thompson |
6% |
5% |
5% |
4% |
|
Ron
Paul |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
|
Other |
<1% |
<1% |
<1% |
<1% |
|
Undecided |
5% |
8% |
10% |
15% |
·
The Candidates’ Supporters: John McCain runs strongest against his opponents upstate where the lion’s share of the Republican vote
will come on primary day. Giuliani
competes better in the suburbs surrounding New York City and among the handful
of Republican voters who reside in New York City.
McCain does well among Republicans with higher income and higher education.
Question Wording: If the New York Republican Presidential Primary
were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
|
Reg. Republicans w/
Leaners |
McCain |
Giuliani |
Romney |
Huckabee |
Other |
Undecided |
|
Upstate |
33% |
15% |
20% |
16% |
5% |
11% |
|
New
York City |
32% |
31% |
8% |
7% |
15% |
7% |
|
Suburbs |
35% |
37% |
8% |
5% |
8% |
7% |
|
Men |
33% |
20% |
17% |
15% |
9% |
6% |
|
Women |
35% |
26% |
13% |
7% |
5% |
14% |
|
Moderate |
36% |
22% |
18% |
7% |
5% |
12% |
|
Conservative |
31% |
23% |
14% |
17% |
10% |
5% |
|
Not
college |
30% |
24% |
14% |
13% |
7% |
12% |
|
College |
40% |
21% |
17% |
9% |
8% |
5% |
|
<
$50,000 |
26% |
23% |
19% |
15% |
7% |
10% |
|
$50,000
or > |
41% |
22% |
11% |
11% |
7% |
8% |
|
18
to 44 |
34% |
20% |
12% |
17% |
7% |
10% |
|
45
or older |
34% |
24% |
16% |
10% |
7% |
9% |
|
1st
time voter in Rep. primary |
32% |
26% |
13% |
12% |
3% |
14% |