New York State Campaign 2006

Final Poll

EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:  FRIDAY 6:00 P.M. NOVEMBER 3, 2006

All references must be sourced WNBC/Marist Poll

 

Contact:          Dr. Lee M. Miringoff

Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho

Marist College

845.575.5050

This WNBC/Marist Poll of New York State reports:

·                  Mired in controversy, New York State Comptroller Alan Hevesi still leads his Republican opponent, but nearly one in six likely voters are on the fence:  Going into the final weekend of the 2006 campaign, Alan Hevesi leads his Republican opponent Christopher Callaghan by twelve points in the race for New York State comptroller.  However, there are several factors that point to a competitive outcome on Election Day.  Hevesi, for the first time, receives the support of fewer than half the New Yorkers likely to vote next Tuesday.  He has the support of 48% of likely voters compared with 36% for Callaghan.  In addition, 14% of likely voters remain undecided, a proportion which is considerably higher than it is in the other statewide races.  About one in ten voters also say they might vote differently on Election Day, although Callaghan supporters are just as likely to have this view as Hevesi supporters. 

 

Question Wording: If next week’s election for comptroller of New York State were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:

 

 

 

Christopher

Callaghan

Republican

 

Alan Hevesi

Democrat

Not Voting for Either One (Vol.)

 

 

Undecided

Likely Voters

 

 

 

 

November 3, 2006

36%

48%

  2%

14%

October 27, 2006

38%

50%

n.a.

12%

October 20, 2006

22%

62%

n.a.

16%

Registered Voters

 

 

 

 

November 3, 2006

35%

46%

  3%

16%

October 27, 2006

37%

50%

n.a.

13%

October 20, 2006

25%

57%

n.a.

18%

September 28, 2006

27%

57%

n.a.

16%

September 8, 2006

28%

57%

n.a.

15%

August 2006

27%

60%

n.a.

13%

July 2006

28%

57%

n.a.

15%

 

Question Wording: Would you say that you strongly support (candidate’s name) somewhat support him, or do you think that you might vote differently on Election Day?

 

 

Likely Voters

Strongly Support

Somewhat Support

Might Vote Differently

 

Unsure

 November 3, 2006

50%

38%

11%

  1%

 October 27, 2006

42%

40%

16%

  2%

 October 20, 2006

45%

42%

12%

  1%

Callaghan supporters

 

 

 

 

 November 3, 2006

49%

38%

10%

  3%

 October 27, 2006

38%

43%

17%

  2%

 October 20, 2006

49%

34%

16%

  1%

Hevesi supporters

 

 

 

 

 November 3, 2006

50%

38%

11%

  1%

 October 27, 2006

45%

38%

15%

  2%

 October 20, 2006

44%

45%

10%

  1%

 

·                  Most voters think Alan Hevesi did something wrong in his role as comptroller:  52% of registered voters believe New York State Comptroller Alan Hevesi did something unethical when he misused public funds to chauffeur his wife, and 35% think he broke the law.  Only 6% think he did nothing wrong.

 

Question Wording: New York State comptroller Alan Hevesi used public funds to have a member of his staff as a driver for his wife.  Do you think Alan Hevesi did nothing wrong, did something unethical but not illegal, or do you think he did something illegal?

 

 

Registered Voters

Did Nothing

Wrong

Did Something Unethical

Did Something Illegal

 

Unsure

November 3, 2006

  6%

52%

35%

  7%

October 27, 2006

  8%

47%

31%

14%

October 20, 2006

  6%

51%

38%

  5%

September 28, 2006

18%

30%

22%

30%

 

·                  Although a majority of voters are troubled by Hevesi’s actions, many still do not want him to resign from office:  55% of registered voters are troubled by Alan Hevesi’s admission of his misuse of public funds, but 57% do not want him to resign from office.

 

Question Wording: Does it bother you a great deal, a good amount, not very much, or not at all, that Alan Hevesi as New York State comptroller is involved in something like this?

 

 

 

Registered Voters

A Great Deal/Good Amount

 

A Great Deal

 

A Good Amount

 

Not Very Much

 

Not At All

 

 

Unsure

November 3, 2006

55%

31%

24%

29%

14%

  2%

October 27, 2006

55%

30%

25%

24%

17%

  4%

September 28, 2006

37%

24%

13%

25%

26%

12%

 

Question Wording: Do you think Alan Hevesi should resign as New York State comptroller, or not?

 

Registered Voters

Should Resign

Should Not Resign

Unsure

November 3, 2006

35%

57%

  8%

October 27, 2006

33%

58%

  9%

 

·                  Eliot Spitzer has a commanding lead over his Republican opponent John Faso in the race for New York’s next governor:  Attorney General Eliot Spitzer leads his Republican opponent, former Assemblyman John Faso by 45 percentage points.  Spitzer receives the support of 69% of New Yorkers likely to vote on Election Day compared with 24% for Faso.  7% of likely voters are undecided.

 

Question Wording: If next week’s election for governor of New York State were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:

 

 

 

John Faso

Republican

Eliot Spitzer Democrat

 

Undecided

Likely Voters

 

 

 

November 3, 2006

24%