Final Poll
EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:
FRIDAY 6:00 P.M. NOVEMBER 3, 2006
All
references must be sourced WNBC/Marist Poll
Contact: Dr. Lee M. Miringoff
Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho
845.575.5050
This WNBC/Marist Poll of New York State reports:
·
Mired in controversy, New York State Comptroller
Alan Hevesi still leads his Republican opponent, but nearly one in six likely
voters are on the fence: Going into the final weekend of the 2006
campaign, Alan Hevesi leads his Republican opponent Christopher Callaghan by
twelve points in the race for New York State comptroller. However, there are several factors that point
to a competitive outcome on Election Day.
Hevesi, for the first time, receives the support of fewer than half the
New Yorkers likely to vote next Tuesday.
He has the support of 48% of likely voters compared with 36% for
Callaghan. In addition, 14% of likely
voters remain undecided, a proportion which is considerably higher than it is
in the other statewide races. About one
in ten voters also say they might vote differently on Election Day, although
Callaghan supporters are just as likely to have this view as Hevesi
supporters.
Question Wording: If next week’s
election for comptroller of
|
|
Christopher Callaghan Republican |
Alan Hevesi Democrat |
Not Voting for Either One (Vol.) |
Undecided |
|
Likely Voters |
|
|
|
|
|
November 3, 2006 |
36% |
48% |
2% |
14% |
|
October 27, 2006 |
38% |
50% |
n.a. |
12% |
|
October 20, 2006 |
22% |
62% |
n.a. |
16% |
|
Registered Voters |
|
|
|
|
|
November 3, 2006 |
35% |
46% |
3% |
16% |
|
October 27, 2006 |
37% |
50% |
n.a. |
13% |
|
October 20, 2006 |
25% |
57% |
n.a. |
18% |
|
September 28, 2006 |
27% |
57% |
n.a. |
16% |
|
September 8, 2006 |
28% |
57% |
n.a. |
15% |
|
August 2006 |
27% |
60% |
n.a. |
13% |
|
July 2006 |
28% |
57% |
n.a. |
15% |
Question Wording: Would you say that you strongly support (candidate’s name) somewhat support him, or do you think that you might vote differently on Election Day?
|
Likely Voters |
Strongly Support |
Somewhat Support |
Might Vote Differently |
Unsure |
|
November 3, 2006 |
50% |
38% |
11% |
1% |
|
October 27, 2006 |
42% |
40% |
16% |
2% |
|
October 20, 2006 |
45% |
42% |
12% |
1% |
|
Callaghan supporters |
|
|
|
|
|
November 3, 2006 |
49% |
38% |
10% |
3% |
|
October 27, 2006 |
38% |
43% |
17% |
2% |
|
October 20, 2006 |
49% |
34% |
16% |
1% |
|
Hevesi supporters |
|
|
|
|
|
November 3, 2006 |
50% |
38% |
11% |
1% |
|
October 27, 2006 |
45% |
38% |
15% |
2% |
|
October 20, 2006 |
44% |
45% |
10% |
1% |
·
Most voters think Alan Hevesi did something wrong
in his role as comptroller: 52% of
registered voters believe New York State Comptroller Alan Hevesi did something
unethical when he misused public funds to chauffeur his wife, and 35% think he
broke the law. Only 6% think he did
nothing wrong.
Question Wording:
|
Registered Voters |
Did Nothing Wrong |
Did Something Unethical |
Did Something Illegal |
Unsure |
|
November 3, 2006 |
6% |
52% |
35% |
7% |
|
October 27, 2006 |
8% |
47% |
31% |
14% |
|
October 20, 2006 |
6% |
51% |
38% |
5% |
|
September
28, 2006 |
18% |
30% |
22% |
30% |
· Although a majority of voters are troubled by Hevesi’s actions, many still do not want him to resign from office: 55% of registered voters are troubled by Alan Hevesi’s admission of his misuse of public funds, but 57% do not want him to resign from office.
Question Wording: Does it bother you a great
deal, a good amount, not very much, or not at all, that Alan Hevesi as
|
Registered Voters |
A Great
Deal/Good Amount |
A Great Deal |
A Good Amount |
Not Very Much |
Not At All |
Unsure |
|
November 3, 2006 |
55% |
31% |
24% |
29% |
14% |
2% |
|
October 27, 2006 |
55% |
30% |
25% |
24% |
17% |
4% |
|
September 28, 2006 |
37% |
24% |
13% |
25% |
26% |
12% |
Question
Wording: Do you
think Alan Hevesi should resign as
|
Registered Voters |
Should Resign |
Should Not Resign |
Unsure |
|
November 3, 2006 |
35% |
57% |
8% |
|
October 27, 2006 |
33% |
58% |
9% |
·
Eliot Spitzer has a commanding lead over his
Republican opponent John Faso in the race for
Question
Wording: If next week’s
election for governor of
|
|
John Faso Republican |
Eliot Spitzer Democrat |
Undecided |
|
Likely Voters |
|
|
|
|
November 3, 2006 |
24% |